Understanding climate
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Flood in Bergen 2017. Photo: Ellen Viste

New Model Show the Future of Floods in Bergen

Extreme precipitation events have dominated the headlines this year, from flash floods in Afghanistan, landslides in Indonesia and major floodings in Europe. Extreme precipitation events can be some of the most devastating natural phenomenon resulting in both destruction of property and loss of life.

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Bergen is no stranger to precipitations, after all its nickname is “the rainy city”.  With the new convection-permitting model the future of extreme precipitation in Bergen is revealed in even greater detail.

Impetus 4 Change

Bergen was chosen as one of four model cities by Impetus 4 Change (I4C). Due to its unique landscape Bergen is particularly vulnerable to extreme precipitation events, which will only increase in the coming future.

In order to address these growing challenges head-on, I4C collaborates with local municipalities and key stakeholders to identify specific regional needs and develop achievable solutions.

One of the leading scientists contributing to I4C’s mission is Dr. Lu Li from NORCE and The Bjerknes Center. Together with her team, she is using convection-permitting models to predict how future extreme precipitation and flooding will impact Bergen.

Working With Local Stakeholders

“When we engaged with the municipality, they asked for even higher resolution data than what was available at the time,” Dr. Li reveals. “The convection-permitting model offer much finer resolution compared to older models, allowing us to show individual districts, from Fana to Åsane, though some uncertainty remains.”

Dr. Li and her colleagues have forged close partnerships with both local authorities and stakeholders such as Bergen Vann to fine-tune their approach. 

“Working so closely with Bergen Vann and the municipalities has been crucial,” Dr. Li explains. “It allows us to get a clear idea of their needs and interests and communicate what we can achieve. Understanding each other is the key to finding practical, impactful solutions.”

Bjerknes Annual Meeting

Don’t miss Lu Li's presentation at the Bjerknes Annual Meeting on October 1st, where she will share insights on "Future Changes in Extreme Precipitation and Floods in Bergen from Convection-Permitting Models."