Understanding climate
for the benefit of society

Publications 2024

Bjerknes scientists are indicated in bold.

Body

B

Barimalala, R.  Wainwright, C., Kolstad, E.W.., Demissie, T.D.: The 2019–21 drought in southern Madagascar, Weather and Climate Extremes, Volume 46, 2024, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100723.

Barthelemy, S., Counillon, F., & Wang, Y. (2024). Adaptive covariance hybridization for the assimilation of SST observations within a coupled Earth system reanalysis. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(6), e2023MS003888.

Berghald, S., Mayer, S., Bohlinger, P., (2024).  Revealing trends in extreme heatwave intensity: applying the UNSEEN approach to Nordic countries, Environ. Res. Lett. 19 034026, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad2893.

Blau, M.T., Kad, P., Turton, J.V. et al. Uneven global retreat of persistent mountain snow cover alongside mountain warming from ERA5-land. npj Clim Atmos Sci 7, 278 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00829-5

Boljka, L.,  Bethke, I.,  Tao, D., &  Li, C. (2024).  Upstream influence of midlatitude jet stream biases in boreal summer. Atmospheric Science Letters,  25(12), e1272. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1272

Bonaduce, A., Pham, N.T., Staneva, J. et al. Sea state contributions to thermosteric sea-level in high-resolution ocean-wave coupled simulations. Ocean Dynamics (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-024-01632-9

Bonan, D. B., Dörr, J., Wills, R. C. J., Thompson, A. F., and Årthun, M.: Sources of low-frequency variability in observed Antarctic sea ice, The Cryosphere, 18, 2141–2159, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2141-2024, 2024

 

C
 

Cabos,W., Vázquez, R., de la Vara, A., Sein, D. V., Koseki, S.,2024: Impactof model’s resolution on the sea surface temperature climate change signal inthe Southeastern Tropical Atlantic, Climate Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07479-6

Chandler, D.M. and Langebroek, P.M. (2024). Glacial-interglacial Circumpolar Deep Water temperatures during the last 800,000 years: estimates from a synthesis of bottom water temperature reconstructions, Climate of the Past, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-2055-2024.

Collier, E., Ban, N., Richter, N. et al. The first ensemble of kilometer-scale simulations of a hydrological year over the third pole. Clim Dyn 62, 7501–7518 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07291-2

Couespel, D., Lévy, M., and Bopp, L.: Stronger Oceanic CO2 Sink in Eddy-Resolving Simulations of Global Warming. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 51, Issue 4, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106172 

Couespel, D. and Tjiputra, J.: What goes in must come out: the oceanic outgassing of anthropogenic carbon. Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 19, Nr. 1, 2024. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10027152  

Couespel, D., Tjiputra, J., Johannsen, K., Vaittinada Ayar, P., and Jensen, B.: Machine learning reveals regime shifts in future ocean carbon dioxide fluxes inter-annual variability, Commun Earth Environ, 5, 1–12, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01257-2, 2024.

D
Dörr, J., Årthun, M., Eldevik, T., & Sandø, A. B. (2024). Expanding influence of Atlantic and Pacific Ocean heat transport on winter sea-ice variability in a warming Arctic. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129, e2023JC019900. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019900  

Dundas, V., Daae, K., & Darelius, E. (2024). Storm-driven warm inflow toward ice shelf cavities—An idealized study of the southern Weddell Sea continental shelf system. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129, e2023JC020749. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020749

F

Flem, A.A.; Ghirardelli, M.; Kral, S.T.; Cheynet, E.; Kristensen, T.O.; Reuder, J. Experimental Characterization of Propeller-Induced Flow (PIF) below a Multi-Rotor UAV. Atmosphere 2024, 15, 242. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15030242

G

Ghomsi, K. F.E., Raj, R.P., Bonaduce, A. et al. Sea level variability in Gulf of Guinea from satellite altimetry. Sci Rep 14, 4759 (2024a). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-55170-x

Ghomsi, F.E.K., Mohamed, B., Raj, R.P., Bonaduce, A. et al. Exploring steric sea level variability in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean: a three-decade study (1993–2022). Sci Rep 14, 20458 (2024b). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-70862-0 

Ghomsi, F.E.K., Nyberg, B., Raj, R.P., Bonaduce  A. et al. Sea level rise and coastal flooding risks in the Gulf of Guinea. Sci Rep 14, 29551 (2024c). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-80748-w

 

 

H
Hallerstig, M., Køltzow, M.Ø., Mayer, S., (2024). Developing a methodology for user-oriented verification of polar low forecasts, Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., http://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4819. 

Hannesdóttir, Á, T. Kral, S.T., Reuder, J., Hasager, C.B.: Rain erosion atlas for wind turbine blades based on ERA5 and NORA3 for Scandinavia,Results in Engineering,Volume 22,2024,102010,ISSN 2590-1230,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2024.102010.

Hill, E., Gudmundsson, H. and Chandler, D. (2024). Ocean warming as a trigger for irreversible retreat of the Antarctic ice sheet. Nature Climate Change 6, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02134-8

Sara Harðardóttir, S. et al including De Schepper, S. : 2024. Millennial-scale variations in Arctic sea ice are recorded in sedimentary ancient DNA of the microalga Polarella glacialis. 2024, Communications Earth and Environment 5, 25, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01179-5  

Huang, J., Pickart, R.S., Bahr. F., McRaven, L.T., Tremblay, J.-É., Michel, C., Jeansson, E., Kopec, B., Ólafsdóttir, S.R., Welker, J.M. Water Mass Evolution and General Circulation of Baffin Bay: Observations from Two Shipboard Surveys in 2021, Progress in Oceanography, 229, 103322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103322

 

I

Irvalı, N., Ninnemann, U. S., Olsen, A., Rose, N. L., Thornalley, D. J. R., Mjell, T. L., and Counillon, F.: Revising chronological uncertainties in marine archives using global anthropogenic signals: a case study on the oceanic 13C Suess effect, Geochronology, 6, 449-463, 10.5194/gchron-6-449-2024, 2024.

J

Jiménez, J. A., Winter, G., Bonaduce, A., et al.,: Sea Level Rise in Europe: Knowledge gaps identified through a participatory approach. Copernicus Publications, State Planet, 3-slre1, 3, https://doi.org/10.5194/sp-3-slre1-3-2024, 2024.

Liqin Jin, Mauro Ghirardelli, Jakob Mann, Mikael Sjöholm, Stephan Thomas Kral, and Joachim Reuder: Rotary-wing drone-induced flow – comparison of simulations with lidar measurements,https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-2721-2024

Jonkers, L., Mix, A., Voelker, A., Risebrobakken, B., Smart, C. W., Ivanova, E., Arellano-Torres, E., Eynaud, F., Naoufel, H., Max, l., Rossignol, L., Simon, M. H., Martins, M. V. A., Petró, S., Caley, T., Dokken, T., Howard, W., Kucera. M., 2024, ForCenS-LGM: a dataset of planktonic foraminifera species assemblage composition for the Last Glacial Maximum, Scientific Data  11, 361, DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-03166-7

K

Katragkou, E., Sobolowski, S. P., Teichmann, C., Solmon, F., Pavlidis, V., Rechid, D., Hoffmann, P., Fernandez, J., Nikulin, G., & Jacob, D. (2024).Delivering an Improved Framework for the New Generation of CMIP6-Driven EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105(6), E962–E974. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0131.1

Kolstad, E. W., D. J. Parker, D. A. MacLeod, C. M. Wainwright, and L. C. Hirons (2024): Beyond the Regional Average: Drivers of Geographical Rainfall Variability during East Africa’s Short Rains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4829

Kolstad, E. W., and C. H. O’Reilly (2024): Causal Oceanic Feedbacks onto the NAO. Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-024-07128-y

Koseki, S., Crespo, L. R., Tjiputra, J., Fransner, F., Keenlyside,N. S., Rivas, D., 2024: Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in theNorwegian Earth System Model.Biogeoscieces, 21, 4149-4168, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4149-2024.

Koseki, S., Vázquez, R., Cabos, W., Gutiérrez, C., Sein, D. V., and Bachèlery, M.-L.: Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model, Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1401–1416, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024, 2024.

Kuya, E. K., Hanssen-Bauer, I., Mayer, S., & Heiberg, H. (2024). Projected changes of rain, sleet, and snowfall in Norway. Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift - Norwegian Journal of Geography, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/00291951.2024.2360409

 

L
Lamptey, B. et al. including  Kolstad, E.W. (2024): Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa. Nature Communications. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6

Levine, X. J., Williams, R. S., Marshall, G., Orr, A., Seland Graff, L., Handorf, D., Karpechko, A., Köhler, R., Wijngaard, R. R., Johnston, N., Lee, H.,Nieradzik, L., and Mooney, P. A.: Storylines of summer Arctic climate change constrained by Barents–Kara seas and Arctic tropospheric warming for climate risk assessment, Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1161–1177, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024, 2024.

Lévy, M., Couespel, D., Haëck, C., Keerthi, M.G., Mangolte, I., and Prend, C.J.: The Impact of Fine-Scale Currents on Biogeochemical Cycles in a Changing Ocean. Annual Review of Marine Science, Vol. 16, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-020723-020531

MacLeod, D., E. W. Kolstad, K. Michaelides, and M. B. Singer (2024): Sensitivity of rainfall extremes to unprecedented Indian Ocean Dipole events. Geophysical Research Letters (GRL). DOI: 10.1029/2023GL105258

Maes, S.L., Dietrich, J., Midolo, G. et al. including  V. Vandvik,  I. H. J. Althuizen and J. Gaudard: Environmental drivers of increased ecosystem respiration in a warming tundra. Nature 629, 105–113 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07274-7S.

Maitland, D.O., Richter, K., Raj, R.P. et al. Determining sea-level rise in the Caribbean: A shift from temperature to mass control. Sci Rep 14, 10387 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-60201-8

Matte, D. et al. including Kolstad, E.W. (2024): How to engage and adapt to unprecedented extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS). DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0138.1

 

N

Nguyen, T. T., Staneva, J., Grayek, S., Bonaduce, A., Hagemann, S., Pham, N. T., et al. (2024). Impacts of extreme river discharge on coastal dynamics and environment: Insights from high-resolution modeling in the German Bight. Reg. Stud. Mar. Sci. 73, 103476. doi: 10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103476

 

O

Olsen, A., Rajasakaren, B., Jeansson, E.,Lauvset, S. K., Omar, A. M., & Becker, M. (2024). In the wake of deeper convection: Nonsteady state anthropogenic carbon in the Greenland Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129, e2023JC020462. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020462

Onarheim, I. H., Årthun, M., Teigen, S. H., Eik, K. J., & Steele, M. (2024). Recent thickening of the Barents Sea ice cover. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL108225. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108225

Outten, S. and Davy, R.: Changes in the North Atlantic Oscillation over the 20th century, Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 753–762, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-753-2024, 2024.

Outten, S. and Sobolowski, S.: Extreme wind and five-day precipitation dataset based on the 0.11° daily Euro-CORDEX regional climate simulations for 1976 to 2100, Data in Brief, 55, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2024.110708, 2024

P

Pham, N.T., Staneva, J., Bonaduce, A. et al. Interannual sea level variability in the North and Baltic seas and net flux through the Danish straits. Ocean Dynamics (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-024-01626-7

Philibert, A., Lothon, M., Amestoy, J., Meslin, P.-Y., Derrien, S., Bezombes, Y., Campistron, B., Lohou, F., Vial, A., Canut-Rocafort, G., Reuder, J., and Brooke, J. K.: CALOTRITON: a convective boundary layer height estimation algorithm from ultra-high-frequency (UHF) wind profiler data, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 17, 1679–1701, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-1679-2024, 2024.

Pillar Helen R. et al including Gallo,Natalya D: Future directions for deep ocean climate science and evidence-based decision making, Frontiers in Climate,6, 2024, DOI=10.3389/fclim.2024.1445694, ISSN=2624-9553

R

Roman, M. R., Altieri, A. H., Breitburg, D., Ferrer, E. M., Gallo, N. D., Ito, S., Limburg, K., Rose, K., Yasuhara, M., and Levin, L. A.: Reviews and syntheses: Biological indicators of low-oxygen stress in marine water-breathing animals, Biogeosciences, 21, 4975–5004, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4975-2024, 2024.

 

S

Sarneel, J.M.Hefting, M.M.Sandén, T.van den Hoogen, J.Routh, D.Adhikari, B.S. et al. including , Inge H. J. AlthuizenVigdis Vandvik (2024Reading tea leaves worldwide: Decoupled drivers of initial litter decomposition mass-loss rate and stabilizationEcology Letters27, e14415. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.14415

Seroussi, H., Pelle, T., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albrecht, T., Alvarez-Solas, J., et al. including Langebroek, P., Chandler, D. and Goelzer, H.(2024). Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet over the next three centuries from an ISMIP6 model ensemble. Earth's Future, 12, e2024EF004561. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004561

Siew, P. Y. F., Li, C., Sobolowski, S. P., Dunn-Sigouin, E., and Ting, M.: Circulation responses to surface heating and implications for polar amplification, Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 985–996, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-985-2024, 2024.

Silva E, Brajard J, Counillon F, Pettersson LH, Naustvoll L. Probabilistic models for harmful algae: application to the Norwegian coast. Environmental Data Science. 2024;3:e12. doi:10.1017/eds.2024.11

Simpson, M.J.R., Bonaduce, A., Borck, H.S., Breili, K., Breivik, Ø., Ravndal, O.R., Richter, K., 2024. Sea-Level Rise and Extremes in Norway: Observations and Projections Based on IPCC AR6. Norwegian Centre for Climate Services report 1/2024, ISSN 2704-1018, Oslo, Norway.

Sodemann, H., Weng, Y.,  Touzeau, A.,  Jeansson, E., Thurnherr, I.,  Barrell, C., et al. (2024).  The cumulative effect of wintertime weather systems on the ocean mixed-layer stable isotope composition in the Iceland and Greenland Seas. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,  129, e2024JD041138.

Solås MR, Salvanes AGV & Aksnes DL (2024). Association between water darkening and hypoxia in a Norwegian fjord. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science
310: 108988 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108988

Stachowska, Z., van der Bilt, W.G., Strzelecki, M.C., 2024. Coastal lake sediments from Arctic Svalbard suggest colder summers are stormier. Nature Communications 15, 9688. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-53875-1

Sun, P., Holden, P. B., and Birks, H. J. B.: Can machine-learning algorithms improve upon classical palaeoenvironmental reconstruction models?, Clim. Past, 20, 2373–2398, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-2373-2024, 2024.

V

Van Peer, T. E., Liebrand, D., Taylor, V. E., Brzelinski, S., Wolf, I., Bornemann, A., Friedrich, O., Bohaty, S. M., Xuan, C., Lippert, P. C., Wilson, P. A., (2024), Eccentricity pacing and rapid termination of the early Antarctic ice ages, Nature Communications, 15, 10600

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-54186-1

Venning, M., & Bushaka, B. (2024). Co-ordinating agricultural adaptation: Seasonal forecasts and their influence on rural agricultural rhythms in Ethiopia. Time & Society, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X241260554

W

Wanyee Wong, Bjørg Risebrobakken, Kirsten Fahl, Ruediger Stein, Eystein Jansen, Kristine Steinsland, Catherine Kissel: Sea ice in the Nordic Seas: Greenland stadial to interstadial changes,Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 343,2024,108916, ISSN 0277-3791,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108916.