Climate prediction
Prediction to benefit society
About the Research Group
Will European winters be increasingly mild and wet in the coming years? Will there be more extreme precipitation? Will climatic conditions be beneficial for Norwegian fisheries and hydroelectric power production?
Such questions are of large societal importance. Yet we may know more about global warming in a 100-year perspective than how climate in Norway will be in a decade.
The Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit (Bjerknes BCPU) is developing skilful climate predictions for these intermediate timescales, bridging the gap between weather forecasting and long-term climate change projections.
Long-term climate forecasting
The Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit (Bjerknes CPU) is developing skilful climate predictions for these intermediate timescales, bridging the gap between weather forecasting and long-term climate change projections
The prediction unit assembles a team of world-class scientists at the Bjerknes Centre - model developers, observationalists, theoreticians, and forecasters – to develop the World’s most skilful prediction system for northern climate.
Our cutting-edge Norwegian Climate Prediction Model can forecast Norwegian surface temperature and precipitation, and Arctic sea ice extent up to a decade in advance. It is being used to deliver quasi-operational predictions for climate services.
Leaders at Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit and Climate Futures
Noel Keenlyside
Professor - Global Climate, UiB
Erik Wilhelm Kolstad
Forsker I / Researcher I - Climate Hazards, NORCE
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Strategic projects
Proxy assimilation for reconstructing climate and improving model
The main objective of PARCIM is to create the first online millennium-long paleo-climate reanalysis, using modern data assimilation, model, and wealth of paleo-proxy archives.
Read more about this climate reconstruction here.
Sea level projection and reconstruction unit
The project SeaPR is the new sea level prediction and reconstruction unit at Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research.
We will provide and increase confidence in sea level predictions and projections for more informed decision making.