Kalender

Bjerknes Annual Meeting

Tidspunkt

01. oktober 2024, 06:30-16:30

Sted

SCANDIC BERGEN CITY

Tentative agenda Bjerknes Annual Meeting October 1, 2024

New frontiers

0900-0910 Welcome by Director Kikki Kleiven

0915-0920 Introduction to hazards by Marius Årthun

0920-0935 Lu Li :“Future changes in extreme precipitation and floods in Western Norway from convection-permitting models”

0935-0940 Introduction to carbon by Are Olsen

0940-0955 Edson Silva: "Climate Change and the Frequency of Toxic Algae Blooms in a Polar Region: The Effect of Warming and Freshening of Coastal Waters"

0955-1000 Introduction to polar by Roshin Raj

1000-1015 Jonathan Rheinlænder: “Breaking Point: How Thinning Ice is Transforming Sea-Ice Breakup in the Arctic “

1015-1020 Introduction to global by Stefan Sobolowski

1020-1035 Augusto de Naschimento, title to be decided

1035-1055: Break

New methods

1100-1115: Natalya Gallo: “what landers can tell us about deep see community sensitivity

to climate change”

1115-1130: Priscilla Mooney: “Storylines of polar climate change”?

1130-1150: Talk by Erica Coppola

1200-1300: Lunch

New Projects

1300-1315 Stefan Sobolowski: Machine learning and AI

1315-1330 Helene Langehaug: "Marine heatwaves in the northern seas - an unexplored chapter"

1330-1345 Richard Sanders on Ocean ICU: Improving Carbon Understanding

1345-1400 Joshua Dorrington: “SPLICER - Synoptic Precursors for deveLoping Improved Constraints on Extreme Rainfall”.

1400-1430 Roundtable on ideas for Bjerknes 25-year anniversary

1430-1500 Break

1500-1530 Poster by 1 minute

1530-1730 Postersession

1800-- Dinner

Flere kalenderoppføringer

Se alle

18.08.25

Seminar: "Enhanced El Niño predictability from climate mode interactions" by Tamas Bodai

The next BCCR Monday Seminar will be given by Tamas Bodai from the Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences. He will present his work on "Enhanced El Niño predictability from climate mode interactions". The seminar will take place in the usual BCCR seminar room (4th floor of the West wing) at 11:00. Abstract The conceptual XRO model (XROM) introduced recently by Zhao et al. (Nature, 2024) has been extended by including state dependence of the external noise forcing on ENSO as well as a seasonal modulation of both the additive and state-dependent parts of the forcing. These features of the forecast model, the XDROM+, require the use of Maximum Likelihood Estimation for parameter inference, which is much more costly than fitting the XROM to data by linear regression via matrix inversion. Yet, it pays, yielding the best ENSO forecast skill yet. In the talk, I will also make a few points of caveat via introducing and discussing four concepts, those of the apparent, theoretical maximum, climatological, and true prediction skills. Most importantly, I explain that (i) the true skill—unlike the apparent skill determined from historical data—cannot be defined by a correlation coefficient and demonstrate that (ii) the said two types of skill do not correlate across possible realisations of the statistical process generated by the XDROM+. https://rdcu.be/exnN4 Speaker information Short biography Tamas Bodai Graduated as a mechanical engineer, with a keen interest in mathematics, I’m now doing research into climate change. https://www.linkedin.com/in/tamas-bodai-65236261/

12.08.25

Bjerknessenteret på Arendalsuka

Møt oss på livestream eller i Arendal kino! Nødvendigheten av klimatilpasning Neste uke er vi på Arendalsuka. Der vil vi sammen med Meteorologisk institutt sette fokuset på nødvendigheten av klimatilpasning. Klimatilpasning er kostbart, men det er langt dyrere å reparere i etterkant. Arrangementet er todelt, vi begynner med korte introduksjoner: Når Norge renner over: Anita Verpe Dyrrdal, leder for Norsk klimaservicesenter, om utfordringer med vann i framtidens klima i Norge. Gir smakebiter fra Klima i Norge-rapporten som kommer til høsten. Offentlig ansvar, privat regning: Mariann Sundvall, Fremtind og styreleder i Norsk Naturskadepool To år etter sitter Nesbyen igjen med regningen etter Hans: Anne Kari Eriksen, ordfører i Nesbyen i samtale med Kikki Kleiven, direktør ved Bjerknessenteret for klimaforskning Vi fortsetter med panelsamtale med: Kristoffer Hansen, statssekretær i Klima- og miljødepartementet Idar Kreutzer, områdedirektør i NHO Helge Eide, områdedirektør i KS Anne Kari Eriksen (Sp), ordfører i Nesbyen Terje Søviknes (Frp), ordfører i Bjørnafjorden og 2.nestleiar i Frp Ordstyrer: Kirsten Å. Øystese, Norsk klimastiftelse Her finner du arrangementet i Arendalsukeprogrammet