Understanding climate
for the benefit of society

Climate Model Development and climate projections

Research group 1


The global climate modeling in Norway is based on the Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM. NorESM is developed in the nationally coordinated research projects NorClim (2006-2010), EarthClim (2011-2014) and EVA (2014-2016), all funded by the Research Council of Norway. Considerable institutional financing has also contributed to the development, testing and validation of NorESM. Besides the modelling activities in Bergen, both the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and the University of Oslo are key partners in the development and use of NorESM.

NorESM has been applied to a number of model experiments as part of the internationally coordinated model intercomparison project CMIP5. A Special Issue in the journal Geoscientific Model Development describes the various NorESM versions. At the end of 2013, over 220 publications in international journals with peer review have used results from the NorESM CMIP5 simulations.

NorESM is based on the global climate model Community Earth System Model (CESM) developed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, USA. NorESM differs from CESM in the following aspects:

  • It uses an ocean circulation model that is largely developed in Bergen.
  • An advanced and detailed description of naturally occurring and man-made particles (sea salt, dust, soot and aerosols) and how these particles affect the radiation, clouds and precipitation has been added to NorESM. This work is mainly done at the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and the University of Oslo.
  • A model for the ocean cycling of carbon, based on a carbon cycle model from the Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg.

 

Technical work and research focus


The ambition to maintain NorESM as a leading Earth System Model requires focused efforts on

  • Model infrastructure and code development including optimization, data input/output and communication beteen computing cores;
  • Development of the solution of the governing primitive equations;
  • Development of physical parameterizations.
  • Testing and validation of new versions of the model system, adjustment of parameter values ​​and testing/implementation of improved model resolution.

Another main focus of the group is to carry out and assist analysis of climate simulations of past, present and possible future climate.

 
Observed global temperature for the period 1850-2006 in purple (from HadCRUT4) and results from three simulations of global temperature with NorESM in black. The time series are plotted relative to the mean value for the period 1850-1899. From Bentsen et al (2013).


Simulated global temperature change in degrees Celsius between 2090-99 and 1961-90 for a scenario with anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions at the current rate (scenario RCP8.5). From Iversen et al (2013).

 

Research Projects

EarthClim
EVA

 

Research Group 1

Leader: Helge Drange
Co-leader: Mats Bentsen

Members of the group:

Alok Kumar Gupta, Pierre de Wet, Yongqi Gao, Mehmet Ilicak, Michel Mesquita, Adakudlu Muralidhar, Mathew Reeve, Lingling Suo, Detelina Ivanova

 

Associate members to the group:

Ingo Bethke, Camille Contoux, Nadine Goris, Christoph Heinze, Petra Langebroek, Camille Li, Kerim Nisancioglu, Odd Helge Otterå, Anne Britt Sandø, Jørg Schwinger, Jerry Tjiputra, Thomas Toniazzo, Zhongshi Zhang